Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月4日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
23°C 56%
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
31%
23°C
56%
24°C
15%
25°C或以上
1%
23°C 56%
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
17%
17°C
$0 交易量
19%
18°C
$41 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
36%
22°C
$0 交易量
31%
23°C
$0 交易量
56%
24°C
$0 交易量
15%
25°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题