Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月2日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
23°C 50%
24°C 27%
22°C 10%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
23°C 50%
24°C 27%
22°C 10%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
18°C或以下
$209 交易量
<1%
19°C
$209 交易量
<1%
20°C
$192 交易量
1%
21°C
$192 交易量
5%
22°C
$303 交易量
10%
23°C
$351 交易量
50%
24°C
$633 交易量
27%
25°C
$6 交易量
1%
26°C
$135 交易量
<1%
27°C
$122 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,482结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,482结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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