Trader consensus around 66–71°F for Seattle’s September 5 high reflects tight ensemble spread in short-range NOAA and NWS model runs, with modest differences in predicted marine layer depth and weak frontal timing creating the narrow probability bands. Recent high-pressure ridging has kept daytime maxima near seasonal normals, while upstream Pacific flow introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and onshore breeze strength that typically cap or elevate afternoon readings by a few degrees. Historical early-September averages near 72°F provide context, yet current guidance shows limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations through September 4 will refine the exact outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日西雅图气温最高？
9月5日西雅图气温最高？
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 29%
66-67°F 25%
64-65华氏度 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59°F或以下
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65华氏度
10%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
6%
74-75华氏度
4%
76-77°F
2%
78华氏度或以上
2%
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 29%
66-67°F 25%
64-65华氏度 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59°F或以下
$25 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
5%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
5%
64-65华氏度
$0 交易量
10%
66-67°F
$12 交易量
29%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
30%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
29%
72-73°F
$50 交易量
6%
74-75华氏度
$0 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
2%
78华氏度或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 66–71°F for Seattle’s September 5 high reflects tight ensemble spread in short-range NOAA and NWS model runs, with modest differences in predicted marine layer depth and weak frontal timing creating the narrow probability bands. Recent high-pressure ridging has kept daytime maxima near seasonal normals, while upstream Pacific flow introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and onshore breeze strength that typically cap or elevate afternoon readings by a few degrees. Historical early-September averages near 72°F provide context, yet current guidance shows limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations through September 4 will refine the exact outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$87结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 66–71°F for Seattle’s September 5 high reflects tight ensemble spread in short-range NOAA and NWS model runs, with modest differences in predicted marine layer depth and weak frontal timing creating the narrow probability bands. Recent high-pressure ridging has kept daytime maxima near seasonal normals, while upstream Pacific flow introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and onshore breeze strength that typically cap or elevate afternoon readings by a few degrees. Historical early-September averages near 72°F provide context, yet current guidance shows limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations through September 4 will refine the exact outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$87结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETTrader consensus around 66–71°F for Seattle’s September 5 high reflects tight ensemble spread in short-range NOAA and NWS model runs, with modest differences in predicted marine layer depth and weak frontal timing creating the narrow probability bands. Recent high-pressure ridging has kept daytime maxima near seasonal normals, while upstream Pacific flow introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and onshore breeze strength that typically cap or elevate afternoon readings by a few degrees. Historical early-September averages near 72°F provide context, yet current guidance shows limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations through September 4 will refine the exact outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题