Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 68°F for San Francisco on September 5, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the climatological average of 70.1°F while reflecting slightly cooler-than-recent conditions after highs of 71–73°F earlier in the week. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and any thinning of low clouds by midday, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on the 68–71°F bins. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日旧金山气温最高？
9月5日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 21%
66-67华氏度 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59华氏度或以下
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67华氏度
7%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
21%
74-75华氏度
4%
76-77华氏度
3%
78°F或更高
1%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 21%
66-67华氏度 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59华氏度或以下
$80 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$364 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
3%
66-67华氏度
$7 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$112 交易量
24%
70-71°F
$354 交易量
45%
72-73°F
$465 交易量
21%
74-75华氏度
$127 交易量
4%
76-77华氏度
$7 交易量
3%
78°F或更高
$164 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 68°F for San Francisco on September 5, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the climatological average of 70.1°F while reflecting slightly cooler-than-recent conditions after highs of 71–73°F earlier in the week. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and any thinning of low clouds by midday, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on the 68–71°F bins. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,685结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 68°F for San Francisco on September 5, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the climatological average of 70.1°F while reflecting slightly cooler-than-recent conditions after highs of 71–73°F earlier in the week. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and any thinning of low clouds by midday, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on the 68–71°F bins. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,685结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 68°F for San Francisco on September 5, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the climatological average of 70.1°F while reflecting slightly cooler-than-recent conditions after highs of 71–73°F earlier in the week. Key variables include the strength of the sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and any thinning of low clouds by midday, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on the 68–71°F bins. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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