**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most runs converging on 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 43% implied probability, ahead of 94–95°F (18.5%) and 98–99°F (14.5%). Early September climatology shows average highs near 93–94°F, but a lingering late-summer pattern with above-normal temperatures across Texas—supported by NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks—has kept recent days in the mid-to-upper 90s, sustaining trader expectations for continued warmth. Low precipitation chances (around 10–20%) limit afternoon cooling, while moderate humidity supports heat indices near 105°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or steering winds could nudge readings one bin higher or lower, but current consensus favors the 96–97°F range as the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 24%
100-101°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
16%
104°F或更高
10%
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 24%
100-101°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
85°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
12%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
24%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
37%
96-97°F
$5 交易量
42%
98-99°F
$6 交易量
14%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
18%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
16%
104°F或更高
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most runs converging on 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.**
This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 43% implied probability, ahead of 94–95°F (18.5%) and 98–99°F (14.5%). Early September climatology shows average highs near 93–94°F, but a lingering late-summer pattern with above-normal temperatures across Texas—supported by NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks—has kept recent days in the mid-to-upper 90s, sustaining trader expectations for continued warmth.
Low precipitation chances (around 10–20%) limit afternoon cooling, while moderate humidity supports heat indices near 105°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or steering winds could nudge readings one bin higher or lower, but current consensus favors the 96–97°F range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most runs converging on 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.**
This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 43% implied probability, ahead of 94–95°F (18.5%) and 98–99°F (14.5%). Early September climatology shows average highs near 93–94°F, but a lingering late-summer pattern with above-normal temperatures across Texas—supported by NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks—has kept recent days in the mid-to-upper 90s, sustaining trader expectations for continued warmth.
Low precipitation chances (around 10–20%) limit afternoon cooling, while moderate humidity supports heat indices near 105°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or steering winds could nudge readings one bin higher or lower, but current consensus favors the 96–97°F range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most runs converging on 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 43% implied probability, ahead of 94–95°F (18.5%) and 98–99°F (14.5%). Early September climatology shows average highs near 93–94°F, but a lingering late-summer pattern with above-normal temperatures across Texas—supported by NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks—has kept recent days in the mid-to-upper 90s, sustaining trader expectations for continued warmth. Low precipitation chances (around 10–20%) limit afternoon cooling, while moderate humidity supports heat indices near 105°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or steering winds could nudge readings one bin higher or lower, but current consensus favors the 96–97°F range as the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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