The incoming cold front, forecast to reach São Paulo on September 5, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with models projecting widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and a polar air mass that will limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 21–23 °C range, consistent with the heaviest market probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, as well as any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 23–25 °C provide context, but this synoptic pattern deviates sharply cooler. Updated model runs and National Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak reading used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月5日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
20%
22°C
31%
23°C
21%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$314 交易量
3%
19°C
$176 交易量
4%
20°C
$399 交易量
7%
21°C
$836 交易量
20%
22°C
$1,017 交易量
31%
23°C
$726 交易量
21%
24°C
$511 交易量
7%
25°C
$80 交易量
3%
26°C
$162 交易量
2%
27°C
$243 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$879 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming cold front, forecast to reach São Paulo on September 5, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with models projecting widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and a polar air mass that will limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 21–23 °C range, consistent with the heaviest market probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, as well as any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 23–25 °C provide context, but this synoptic pattern deviates sharply cooler. Updated model runs and National Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,343结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming cold front, forecast to reach São Paulo on September 5, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with models projecting widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and a polar air mass that will limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 21–23 °C range, consistent with the heaviest market probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, as well as any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 23–25 °C provide context, but this synoptic pattern deviates sharply cooler. Updated model runs and National Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,343结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThe incoming cold front, forecast to reach São Paulo on September 5, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with models projecting widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and a polar air mass that will limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 21–23 °C range, consistent with the heaviest market probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, as well as any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 23–25 °C provide context, but this synoptic pattern deviates sharply cooler. Updated model runs and National Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak reading used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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