Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日广州气温最高？
9月7日广州气温最高？
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
36°C 22%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
27%
35°C
25%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
2%
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
36°C 22%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32°C
$5 交易量
8%
33°C
$22 交易量
12%
34°C
$0 交易量
27%
35°C
$6 交易量
25%
36°C
$54 交易量
21%
37°C
$20 交易量
5%
38°C
$0 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$106结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$106结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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