Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming above seasonal normals. Afternoon peaks depend on limited cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Current trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C because short-range guidance shows modest intensification potential without strong advection of cooler air, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent unexpected clear-sky conditions. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日巴黎气温最高？
9月6日巴黎气温最高？
29°C 32%
30°C 27%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
27%
31°C
12%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 27%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$198 交易量
10%
29°C
$39 交易量
32%
30°C
$28 交易量
27%
31°C
$191 交易量
12%
32°C
$131 交易量
8%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C
$5 交易量
2%
35°C
$0 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$5,140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming above seasonal normals. Afternoon peaks depend on limited cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Current trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C because short-range guidance shows modest intensification potential without strong advection of cooler air, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent unexpected clear-sky conditions. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,732结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming above seasonal normals. Afternoon peaks depend on limited cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Current trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C because short-range guidance shows modest intensification potential without strong advection of cooler air, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent unexpected clear-sky conditions. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,732结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under building high pressure that favors daytime warming above seasonal normals. Afternoon peaks depend on limited cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Current trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C because short-range guidance shows modest intensification potential without strong advection of cooler air, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent unexpected clear-sky conditions. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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