Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate project Milan’s August 24 high near 28–30°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27–29°C brackets. This positioning reflects persistent Po Valley warmth following Milan’s 31°C reading on August 17 and broader northern Italy heat anomalies through mid-to-late August, sustained by stable high-pressure patterns and typical late-summer climatology (average highs ~28–30°C). Model consensus shows limited cooling risk without a strong frontal passage, while low probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for forecast spread and potential modest diurnal moderation. Official updates from Italian meteorological services and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日米兰的最高温度?
28°C 36%
29°C 24%
27°C 17%
30°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
36%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 36%
29°C 24%
27°C 17%
30°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
36%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate project Milan’s August 24 high near 28–30°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27–29°C brackets. This positioning reflects persistent Po Valley warmth following Milan’s 31°C reading on August 17 and broader northern Italy heat anomalies through mid-to-late August, sustained by stable high-pressure patterns and typical late-summer climatology (average highs ~28–30°C). Model consensus shows limited cooling risk without a strong frontal passage, while low probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for forecast spread and potential modest diurnal moderation. Official updates from Italian meteorological services and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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