Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a low near 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a frontal boundary moderating overnight cooling after a hot, mostly clear August 26. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions and light winds limiting extremes. Recent shifts from subtropical high pressure have introduced greater moisture and precipitation chances, aligning trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect forecast spread in timing and intensity of rain. New JMA updates and model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日东京最低气温?
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a low near 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a frontal boundary moderating overnight cooling after a hot, mostly clear August 26. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions and light winds limiting extremes. Recent shifts from subtropical high pressure have introduced greater moisture and precipitation chances, aligning trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect forecast spread in timing and intensity of rain. New JMA updates and model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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