Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13 °C for Cape Town on 29 August, driven by strengthening southerly winds and increased low-level cloud that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and the strength of cooler maritime air advection from the south Atlantic. Historical August minima average near 11 °C, with clear-sky radiational cooling capable of producing brief dips to 10 °C or lower if winds slacken. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于开普敦8月29日的最低温度?
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
18%
9°C
10%
10°C
26%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
10%
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
18%
9°C
10%
10°C
26%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13 °C for Cape Town on 29 August, driven by strengthening southerly winds and increased low-level cloud that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and the strength of cooler maritime air advection from the south Atlantic. Historical August minima average near 11 °C, with clear-sky radiational cooling capable of producing brief dips to 10 °C or lower if winds slacken. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题