**Current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance for Denver on August 29 points to a high in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Model consensus from sources including NWS Denver/Boulder, WeatherBug, and international ensembles clusters around 90–93 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 92–93 °F bin at 43 % implied probability and the 94–95 °F bin at 25.5 %. Recent observed highs (91–93 °F on August 27–28) and a dry, moderately unstable airmass support these values, while light southwesterly flow and high solar angles favor peak temperatures near the upper end of the 90–96 °F guidance range. Traders appear to be pricing in the limited upside risk from stronger heating or suppressed convection versus the downside risk of increased cloud cover or earlier storms. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the primary Denver observation site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日丹佛的最高温度?
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 18%
86-87°F 14%
83°F或以下
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
4%
102°F或更高
4%
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 18%
86-87°F 14%
83°F或以下
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
4%
102°F或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance for Denver on August 29 points to a high in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Model consensus from sources including NWS Denver/Boulder, WeatherBug, and international ensembles clusters around 90–93 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 92–93 °F bin at 43 % implied probability and the 94–95 °F bin at 25.5 %. Recent observed highs (91–93 °F on August 27–28) and a dry, moderately unstable airmass support these values, while light southwesterly flow and high solar angles favor peak temperatures near the upper end of the 90–96 °F guidance range. Traders appear to be pricing in the limited upside risk from stronger heating or suppressed convection versus the downside risk of increased cloud cover or earlier storms. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the primary Denver observation site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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