Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-11
新加坡
50%
雅加达
50%
孟买
51%
马尼拉
51%
Tokyo
51%
拉各斯
50%
曼谷
51%
香港
50%
首尔（仁川）
51%
台北
50%
科伦坡
50%
达卡
50%
吉隆坡
50%
London
50%
迪拜
50%
圣保罗
51%
悉尼
49%
$0.00 交易量
新加坡
$0 交易量
50%
雅加达
$0 交易量
50%
孟买
$0 交易量
51%
马尼拉
$0 交易量
51%
Tokyo
$0 交易量
51%
拉各斯
$0 交易量
50%
曼谷
$0 交易量
51%
香港
$0 交易量
50%
首尔（仁川）
$0 交易量
51%
台北
$0 交易量
50%
科伦坡
$0 交易量
50%
达卡
$0 交易量
50%
吉隆坡
$0 交易量
50%
London
$0 交易量
50%
迪拜
$0 交易量
50%
圣保罗
$0 交易量
51%
悉尼
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETTrader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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