Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 9, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical August climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover near 30–32°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate northeast winds supporting this peak, consistent with recent observational trends of 30–33°C daytime readings. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for minor forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to mesoscale predictions. A realistic challenge could arise from localized convective development or a shift in steering patterns that either suppresses or elevates the maximum by 1–2°C beyond model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日郑州气温最高？
8月9日郑州气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,959 交易量
$5,959 交易量
2026-08-09
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,959 交易量
$5,959 交易量
2026-08-09
22°C or below
$360 交易量
<1%
23°C
$294 交易量
<1%
24°C
$294 交易量
<1%
25°C
$328 交易量
<1%
26°C
$328 交易量
<1%
27°C
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$385 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,039 交易量
<1%
30°C
$919 交易量
<1%
31°C
$962 交易量
100%
32°C or higher
$796 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 9, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical August climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover near 30–32°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate northeast winds supporting this peak, consistent with recent observational trends of 30–33°C daytime readings. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for minor forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to mesoscale predictions. A realistic challenge could arise from localized convective development or a shift in steering patterns that either suppresses or elevates the maximum by 1–2°C beyond model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,959结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 9, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical August climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover near 30–32°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate northeast winds supporting this peak, consistent with recent observational trends of 30–33°C daytime readings. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for minor forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to mesoscale predictions. A realistic challenge could arise from localized convective development or a shift in steering patterns that either suppresses or elevates the maximum by 1–2°C beyond model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,959结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 9, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical August climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover near 30–32°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate northeast winds supporting this peak, consistent with recent observational trends of 30–33°C daytime readings. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for minor forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to mesoscale predictions. A realistic challenge could arise from localized convective development or a shift in steering patterns that either suppresses or elevates the maximum by 1–2°C beyond model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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