El Niño conditions, strengthening through late 2026 with a 97% persistence probability per NOAA, are the dominant driver shaping trader sentiment on rain locations for August 9. This phase typically suppresses precipitation across the southern Plains, Texas, and Gulf Coast through persistent high pressure while favoring storm activity and above-average rainfall in parts of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and western U.S. via altered jet stream patterns. National Weather Service short-range guidance and Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day precipitation outlooks currently indicate mostly dry conditions in central regions with isolated thunderstorm chances elsewhere. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts influencing resolution thresholds for specific geographic outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日哪里会下雨？
8月9日哪里会下雨？
最新
2026-08-10
新加坡
50%
雅加达
50%
孟买
51%
马尼拉
51%
东京
50%
拉各斯
49%
曼谷
50%
香港
50%
首尔（仁川）
50%
台北
50%
科伦坡
50%
达卡
50%
吉隆坡
50%
伦敦
49%
迪拜
28%
圣保罗
50%
悉尼
51%
$3 交易量
新加坡
$0 交易量
50%
雅加达
$0 交易量
50%
孟买
$0 交易量
51%
马尼拉
$0 交易量
51%
东京
$0 交易量
50%
拉各斯
$0 交易量
49%
曼谷
$0 交易量
50%
香港
$0 交易量
50%
首尔（仁川）
$0 交易量
50%
台北
$0 交易量
50%
科伦坡
$0 交易量
50%
达卡
$0 交易量
50%
吉隆坡
$0 交易量
50%
伦敦
$0 交易量
49%
迪拜
$3 交易量
28%
圣保罗
$0 交易量
50%
悉尼
$0 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".El Niño conditions, strengthening through late 2026 with a 97% persistence probability per NOAA, are the dominant driver shaping trader sentiment on rain locations for August 9. This phase typically suppresses precipitation across the southern Plains, Texas, and Gulf Coast through persistent high pressure while favoring storm activity and above-average rainfall in parts of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and western U.S. via altered jet stream patterns. National Weather Service short-range guidance and Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day precipitation outlooks currently indicate mostly dry conditions in central regions with isolated thunderstorm chances elsewhere. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts influencing resolution thresholds for specific geographic outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$3结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".El Niño conditions, strengthening through late 2026 with a 97% persistence probability per NOAA, are the dominant driver shaping trader sentiment on rain locations for August 9. This phase typically suppresses precipitation across the southern Plains, Texas, and Gulf Coast through persistent high pressure while favoring storm activity and above-average rainfall in parts of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and western U.S. via altered jet stream patterns. National Weather Service short-range guidance and Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day precipitation outlooks currently indicate mostly dry conditions in central regions with isolated thunderstorm chances elsewhere. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts influencing resolution thresholds for specific geographic outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$3结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ETEl Niño conditions, strengthening through late 2026 with a 97% persistence probability per NOAA, are the dominant driver shaping trader sentiment on rain locations for August 9. This phase typically suppresses precipitation across the southern Plains, Texas, and Gulf Coast through persistent high pressure while favoring storm activity and above-average rainfall in parts of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and western U.S. via altered jet stream patterns. National Weather Service short-range guidance and Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day precipitation outlooks currently indicate mostly dry conditions in central regions with isolated thunderstorm chances elsewhere. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts influencing resolution thresholds for specific geographic outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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