Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月28日惠灵顿的最低温度？
12°C 47%
13°C 43%
11°C 34%
10°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
7°C或更低
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
32%
10°C
32%
11°C
34%
12°C
47%
13°C
43%
14°C
30%
15°C
11%
16°C
6%
17°C或更高
9%
12°C 47%
13°C 43%
11°C 34%
10°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
7°C或更低
$22 交易量
2%
8°C
$22 交易量
5%
9°C
$0 交易量
32%
10°C
$0 交易量
32%
11°C
$0 交易量
34%
12°C
$0 交易量
47%
13°C
$0 交易量
43%
14°C
$81 交易量
30%
15°C
$37 交易量
11%
16°C
$37 交易量
6%
17°C或更高
$37 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$235结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$235结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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