Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月29日惠灵顿的最低温度？
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 交易量
$2,323 交易量
2026-08-29
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 交易量
$2,323 交易量
2026-08-29
11°C
$422 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,323结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,323结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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