Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum for Amsterdam on September 2 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 14 °C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 14 °C, 13 °C, and 9 °C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh GFS and ECMWF guidance showing limited overnight drop versus historical September averages of ~12 °C and occasional cooler outliers. With the day still early and final minimum pending official KNMI observations, small forecast revisions in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the exact reading between the closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
9月2日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
9°C or below 99%
13°C 90%
12°C 7%
11°C 5%
$495 交易量
$495 交易量
2026-09-02
9°C or below
99%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
7%
13°C
90%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 99%
13°C 90%
12°C 7%
11°C 5%
$495 交易量
$495 交易量
2026-09-02
9°C or below
$12 交易量
99%
10°C
$75 交易量
<1%
11°C
$12 交易量
5%
12°C
$12 交易量
7%
13°C
$12 交易量
90%
14°C
$12 交易量
55%
15°C
$40 交易量
<1%
16°C
$35 交易量
<1%
17°C
$165 交易量
<1%
18°C
$20 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum for Amsterdam on September 2 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 14 °C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 14 °C, 13 °C, and 9 °C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh GFS and ECMWF guidance showing limited overnight drop versus historical September averages of ~12 °C and occasional cooler outliers. With the day still early and final minimum pending official KNMI observations, small forecast revisions in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the exact reading between the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$495结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum for Amsterdam on September 2 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 14 °C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 14 °C, 13 °C, and 9 °C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh GFS and ECMWF guidance showing limited overnight drop versus historical September averages of ~12 °C and occasional cooler outliers. With the day still early and final minimum pending official KNMI observations, small forecast revisions in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the exact reading between the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$495结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum for Amsterdam on September 2 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 14 °C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 14 °C, 13 °C, and 9 °C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh GFS and ECMWF guidance showing limited overnight drop versus historical September averages of ~12 °C and occasional cooler outliers. With the day still early and final minimum pending official KNMI observations, small forecast revisions in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the exact reading between the closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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