Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
9月3日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
12°C or below
9%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
17%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
25%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
12°C or below
$5 交易量
9%
13°C
$4 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
12%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$5 交易量
20%
21°C
$5 交易量
8%
22°C or higher
$5 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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