Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 8, driven by south to southeast winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, following several days of above-normal heat in the low-to-mid 90s. Partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms late in the day could limit peak heating and create the narrow spread among the 82–87°F bins that dominate trader positioning. Climatological norms place the September 8 average high at 79°F, so current conditions reflect a lingering warm anomaly rather than extreme deviation. Updated model guidance and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日芝加哥气温最高？
9月8日芝加哥气温最高？
84-85°F 28%
86-87华氏度 22%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
28%
86-87华氏度
22%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
3%
96°F或更高
3%
84-85°F 28%
86-87华氏度 22%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
77°F或以下
$55 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$11 交易量
20%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
21%
84-85°F
$40 交易量
28%
86-87华氏度
$0 交易量
22%
88-89°F
$11 交易量
10%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
7%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
3%
96°F或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 8, driven by south to southeast winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, following several days of above-normal heat in the low-to-mid 90s. Partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms late in the day could limit peak heating and create the narrow spread among the 82–87°F bins that dominate trader positioning. Climatological norms place the September 8 average high at 79°F, so current conditions reflect a lingering warm anomaly rather than extreme deviation. Updated model guidance and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$117结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 8, driven by south to southeast winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, following several days of above-normal heat in the low-to-mid 90s. Partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms late in the day could limit peak heating and create the narrow spread among the 82–87°F bins that dominate trader positioning. Climatological norms place the September 8 average high at 79°F, so current conditions reflect a lingering warm anomaly rather than extreme deviation. Updated model guidance and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 8, driven by south to southeast winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, following several days of above-normal heat in the low-to-mid 90s. Partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms late in the day could limit peak heating and create the narrow spread among the 82–87°F bins that dominate trader positioning. Climatological norms place the September 8 average high at 79°F, so current conditions reflect a lingering warm anomaly rather than extreme deviation. Updated model guidance and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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