Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月15日马尼拉的最低温度？
27°C 99%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
$958 交易量
$958 交易量
2026-09-15
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 99%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
$958 交易量
$958 交易量
2026-09-15
21°C或以下
$10 交易量
否
22°C
$10 交易量
否
23°C
$82 交易量
否
24°C
$75 交易量
否
25°C
$85 交易量
否
26°C
$75 交易量
否
27°C
$213 交易量
是
28°C
$341 交易量
否
29°C
$26 交易量
否
30°C
$10 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$958结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$958结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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