Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a Manila minimum near 25°C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon and an embedded low-pressure area along the ITCZ. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting temperature drops despite light winds. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 24-26°C, with 20°C or below requiring unusually clear, dry air that current observations and model consensus do not support. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact timing and intensity of rain that could either trap heat or allow brief cooling to 24°C or lower before official station readings finalize the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月17日马尼拉的最低温度？
20°C或以下 99%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
99%
21°C
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
92%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
20°C或以下 99%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
21°C
$0 交易量
90%
22°C
$0 交易量
90%
23°C
$83 交易量
90%
24°C
$83 交易量
92%
25°C
$12 交易量
-
26°C
$2,594 交易量
<1%
27°C
$52 交易量
<1%
28°C
$15 交易量
<1%
29°C
$15 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$18 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a Manila minimum near 25°C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon and an embedded low-pressure area along the ITCZ. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting temperature drops despite light winds. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 24-26°C, with 20°C or below requiring unusually clear, dry air that current observations and model consensus do not support. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact timing and intensity of rain that could either trap heat or allow brief cooling to 24°C or lower before official station readings finalize the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,872结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a Manila minimum near 25°C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon and an embedded low-pressure area along the ITCZ. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting temperature drops despite light winds. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 24-26°C, with 20°C or below requiring unusually clear, dry air that current observations and model consensus do not support. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact timing and intensity of rain that could either trap heat or allow brief cooling to 24°C or lower before official station readings finalize the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,872结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a Manila minimum near 25°C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon and an embedded low-pressure area along the ITCZ. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting temperature drops despite light winds. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 24-26°C, with 20°C or below requiring unusually clear, dry air that current observations and model consensus do not support. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact timing and intensity of rain that could either trap heat or allow brief cooling to 24°C or lower before official station readings finalize the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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