The closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日重庆气温最低？
9月18日重庆气温最低？
15°C或以下 99%
25°C或更高 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
99%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C或更高
98%
15°C或以下 99%
25°C或更高 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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