**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's highest-implied probability at 30°C (49.5%).** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea maintain warm overnight conditions typical of the region's late-summer climatology, where September minima average near 28–30°C at the King Abdulaziz International Airport station. Recent model runs show little disagreement or incoming disturbances that would cool surface temperatures substantially overnight. The secondary 35°C-or-higher outcome (38.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below underscore the low likelihood of significant cooling under current stable atmospheric conditions. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these near-term expectations ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日吉达最低气温？
9月18日吉达最低气温？
35°C或更高 67%
30°C 50%
27°C 38%
29°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
26%
26°C
18%
27°C
38%
28°C
36%
29°C
38%
30°C
50%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
17%
34°C
17%
35°C或更高
67%
35°C或更高 67%
30°C 50%
27°C 38%
29°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
$86 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
18%
27°C
$0 交易量
38%
28°C
$50 交易量
36%
29°C
$0 交易量
38%
30°C
$355 交易量
50%
31°C
$436 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
38%
33°C
$0 交易量
17%
34°C
$0 交易量
17%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's highest-implied probability at 30°C (49.5%).** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea maintain warm overnight conditions typical of the region's late-summer climatology, where September minima average near 28–30°C at the King Abdulaziz International Airport station. Recent model runs show little disagreement or incoming disturbances that would cool surface temperatures substantially overnight. The secondary 35°C-or-higher outcome (38.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below underscore the low likelihood of significant cooling under current stable atmospheric conditions. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these near-term expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$927结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's highest-implied probability at 30°C (49.5%).** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea maintain warm overnight conditions typical of the region's late-summer climatology, where September minima average near 28–30°C at the King Abdulaziz International Airport station. Recent model runs show little disagreement or incoming disturbances that would cool surface temperatures substantially overnight. The secondary 35°C-or-higher outcome (38.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below underscore the low likelihood of significant cooling under current stable atmospheric conditions. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these near-term expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$927结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's highest-implied probability at 30°C (49.5%).** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea maintain warm overnight conditions typical of the region's late-summer climatology, where September minima average near 28–30°C at the King Abdulaziz International Airport station. Recent model runs show little disagreement or incoming disturbances that would cool surface temperatures substantially overnight. The secondary 35°C-or-higher outcome (38.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-scale variations, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below underscore the low likelihood of significant cooling under current stable atmospheric conditions. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these near-term expectations ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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