Current ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 23, 2026, with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal cloud cover overnight that should support moderate radiational cooling. This setup points to a daily minimum near 11–12 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.9 °C for the date. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping the 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated guidance from the next model cycle and any shift in surface pressure gradients will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日巴黎最低气温？
9月23日巴黎最低气温？
11°C 37%
10°C 35%
12°C 27%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
35%
11°C
37%
12°C
27%
13°C
6%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
2%
11°C 37%
10°C 35%
12°C 27%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$8 交易量
5%
10°C
$227 交易量
35%
11°C
$968 交易量
37%
12°C
$224 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
6%
14°C
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 23, 2026, with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal cloud cover overnight that should support moderate radiational cooling. This setup points to a daily minimum near 11–12 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.9 °C for the date. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping the 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated guidance from the next model cycle and any shift in surface pressure gradients will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,426结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 23, 2026, with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal cloud cover overnight that should support moderate radiational cooling. This setup points to a daily minimum near 11–12 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.9 °C for the date. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping the 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated guidance from the next model cycle and any shift in surface pressure gradients will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,426结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern France on September 23, 2026, with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal cloud cover overnight that should support moderate radiational cooling. This setup points to a daily minimum near 11–12 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.9 °C for the date. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping the 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated guidance from the next model cycle and any shift in surface pressure gradients will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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