Recent model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy skies over Shenzhen on September 24, with scattered showers possible amid lingering subtropical moisture, limiting peak solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. Light easterly flow and modest instability favor brief convective cells rather than prolonged clear spells, while regional Guangdong patterns show a modest cooling trend from the prior hot period. Forecast ensembles exhibit limited spread on exact high temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日深圳气温最高？
9月24日深圳气温最高？
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
33°C 21%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
27°C或以下
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C或更高
2%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
33°C 21%
29°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$5 交易量
13%
31°C
$7 交易量
31%
32°C
$0 交易量
32%
33°C
$111 交易量
21%
34°C
$0 交易量
12%
35°C
$0 交易量
7%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy skies over Shenzhen on September 24, with scattered showers possible amid lingering subtropical moisture, limiting peak solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. Light easterly flow and modest instability favor brief convective cells rather than prolonged clear spells, while regional Guangdong patterns show a modest cooling trend from the prior hot period. Forecast ensembles exhibit limited spread on exact high temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$123结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy skies over Shenzhen on September 24, with scattered showers possible amid lingering subtropical moisture, limiting peak solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. Light easterly flow and modest instability favor brief convective cells rather than prolonged clear spells, while regional Guangdong patterns show a modest cooling trend from the prior hot period. Forecast ensembles exhibit limited spread on exact high temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$123结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy skies over Shenzhen on September 24, with scattered showers possible amid lingering subtropical moisture, limiting peak solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. Light easterly flow and modest instability favor brief convective cells rather than prolonged clear spells, while regional Guangdong patterns show a modest cooling trend from the prior hot period. Forecast ensembles exhibit limited spread on exact high temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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