**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 24 high centers on 29–31°C, with market-implied odds peaking at 30°C (29%) amid closely bunched probabilities reflecting model spread.** Multiple short-range guidance products, including national meteorological outputs and global ensembles, project partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds and modest moisture, limiting peak insolation and capping daytime maxima near or slightly above late-September climatology. Recent upstream rain and persistent cloud cover have kept surface temperatures subdued, while diurnal heating under broken cloud decks supports the narrow 29–32°C envelope. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include exact timing and extent of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform layers, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and minor discrepancies in model-resolved moisture advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日武汉气温最高？
9月24日武汉气温最高？
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
29%
31°C
24%
32°C
17%
33°C
20%
34°C
16%
35°C或以上
4%
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
16%
28°C
$5 交易量
10%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
29%
31°C
$0 交易量
24%
32°C
$0 交易量
17%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 24 high centers on 29–31°C, with market-implied odds peaking at 30°C (29%) amid closely bunched probabilities reflecting model spread.** Multiple short-range guidance products, including national meteorological outputs and global ensembles, project partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds and modest moisture, limiting peak insolation and capping daytime maxima near or slightly above late-September climatology. Recent upstream rain and persistent cloud cover have kept surface temperatures subdued, while diurnal heating under broken cloud decks supports the narrow 29–32°C envelope. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include exact timing and extent of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform layers, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and minor discrepancies in model-resolved moisture advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 24 high centers on 29–31°C, with market-implied odds peaking at 30°C (29%) amid closely bunched probabilities reflecting model spread.** Multiple short-range guidance products, including national meteorological outputs and global ensembles, project partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds and modest moisture, limiting peak insolation and capping daytime maxima near or slightly above late-September climatology. Recent upstream rain and persistent cloud cover have kept surface temperatures subdued, while diurnal heating under broken cloud decks supports the narrow 29–32°C envelope. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include exact timing and extent of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform layers, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and minor discrepancies in model-resolved moisture advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 24 high centers on 29–31°C, with market-implied odds peaking at 30°C (29%) amid closely bunched probabilities reflecting model spread.** Multiple short-range guidance products, including national meteorological outputs and global ensembles, project partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds and modest moisture, limiting peak insolation and capping daytime maxima near or slightly above late-September climatology. Recent upstream rain and persistent cloud cover have kept surface temperatures subdued, while diurnal heating under broken cloud decks supports the narrow 29–32°C envelope. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include exact timing and extent of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform layers, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and minor discrepancies in model-resolved moisture advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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