Recent GFS and other numerical weather prediction runs indicate Warsaw's September 24 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of drizzle that limits daytime heating. Model consensus clusters near 14–15°C, with slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the tight spread between the market's leading 15°C and 16°C outcomes at 29.5% each. This cooler-than-climatological pattern (late-September normals near 16–18°C) stems from a zonal flow and surface pressure gradient that favors limited solar insolation. Traders are weighting the latest afternoon model guidance most heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum reported by official Polish meteorological observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日华沙的最高温度？
9月24日华沙的最高温度？
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
14°C 18%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
18%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
9%
18°C
5%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
14°C 18%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
9°C或以下
$170 交易量
<1%
10°C
$0 交易量
2%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$7 交易量
5%
13°C
$5 交易量
7%
14°C
$518 交易量
18%
15°C
$104 交易量
30%
16°C
$1,179 交易量
29%
17°C
$7 交易量
9%
18°C
$60 交易量
5%
19°C或更高
$206 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other numerical weather prediction runs indicate Warsaw's September 24 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of drizzle that limits daytime heating. Model consensus clusters near 14–15°C, with slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the tight spread between the market's leading 15°C and 16°C outcomes at 29.5% each. This cooler-than-climatological pattern (late-September normals near 16–18°C) stems from a zonal flow and surface pressure gradient that favors limited solar insolation. Traders are weighting the latest afternoon model guidance most heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum reported by official Polish meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,256结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other numerical weather prediction runs indicate Warsaw's September 24 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of drizzle that limits daytime heating. Model consensus clusters near 14–15°C, with slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the tight spread between the market's leading 15°C and 16°C outcomes at 29.5% each. This cooler-than-climatological pattern (late-September normals near 16–18°C) stems from a zonal flow and surface pressure gradient that favors limited solar insolation. Traders are weighting the latest afternoon model guidance most heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum reported by official Polish meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,256结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent GFS and other numerical weather prediction runs indicate Warsaw's September 24 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of drizzle that limits daytime heating. Model consensus clusters near 14–15°C, with slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creating the tight spread between the market's leading 15°C and 16°C outcomes at 29.5% each. This cooler-than-climatological pattern (late-September normals near 16–18°C) stems from a zonal flow and surface pressure gradient that favors limited solar insolation. Traders are weighting the latest afternoon model guidance most heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum reported by official Polish meteorological observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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