Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological sources and global models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle between 7–9 °C under persistent overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on the precise minimum, with some projecting brief clearer intervals that could allow a dip toward 6 °C while others keep readings closer to 8–9 °C amid steady cloud cover and weak advection. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied odds clustered around 5–7 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any late-evening observations that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日华沙最低气温？
9月24日华沙最低气温？
2°C或以下 98%
5°C 47%
3°C 7%
4°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
2°C或以下
98%
3°C
7%
4°C
7%
5°C
47%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
2°C或以下 98%
5°C 47%
3°C 7%
4°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
2°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
3°C
$0 交易量
7%
4°C
$0 交易量
7%
5°C
$119 交易量
47%
6°C
$0 交易量
<1%
7°C
$45 交易量
<1%
8°C
$50 交易量
<1%
9°C
$0 交易量
<1%
10℃
$15 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
<1%
12°C或更高
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological sources and global models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle between 7–9 °C under persistent overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on the precise minimum, with some projecting brief clearer intervals that could allow a dip toward 6 °C while others keep readings closer to 8–9 °C amid steady cloud cover and weak advection. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied odds clustered around 5–7 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any late-evening observations that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$260结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Polish meteorological sources and global models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle between 7–9 °C under persistent overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on the precise minimum, with some projecting brief clearer intervals that could allow a dip toward 6 °C while others keep readings closer to 8–9 °C amid steady cloud cover and weak advection. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied odds clustered around 5–7 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any late-evening observations that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$260结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Polish meteorological sources and global models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle between 7–9 °C under persistent overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on the precise minimum, with some projecting brief clearer intervals that could allow a dip toward 6 °C while others keep readings closer to 8–9 °C amid steady cloud cover and weak advection. This narrow range explains the tight market-implied odds clustered around 5–7 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any late-evening observations that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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