**Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 25–26°C on September 24, with partly cloudy conditions, localized showers, and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** This consensus arises from persistent subtropical moisture and weak steering flows that moderate diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with historical September baselines where lows rarely dip below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The closely matched market odds between 21°C or below (46.5%) and 31°C or higher (44.0%) reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in convective timing and the distinction between official station readings versus broader urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and any revised numerical weather prediction runs will clarify whether localized cooling from rain-cooled air masses can push the daily minimum lower than current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日深圳最低气温？
9月24日深圳最低气温？
21℃或以下 44%
26°C 44%
31°C或更高 44%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
21℃或以下
44%
22°C
8%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
31%
28°C
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C或更高
44%
21℃或以下 44%
26°C 44%
31°C或更高 44%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
21℃或以下
$0 交易量
44%
22°C
$0 交易量
8%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$7 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
31%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
9%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 25–26°C on September 24, with partly cloudy conditions, localized showers, and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
This consensus arises from persistent subtropical moisture and weak steering flows that moderate diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with historical September baselines where lows rarely dip below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The closely matched market odds between 21°C or below (46.5%) and 31°C or higher (44.0%) reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in convective timing and the distinction between official station readings versus broader urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and any revised numerical weather prediction runs will clarify whether localized cooling from rain-cooled air masses can push the daily minimum lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 25–26°C on September 24, with partly cloudy conditions, localized showers, and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
This consensus arises from persistent subtropical moisture and weak steering flows that moderate diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with historical September baselines where lows rarely dip below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The closely matched market odds between 21°C or below (46.5%) and 31°C or higher (44.0%) reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in convective timing and the distinction between official station readings versus broader urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and any revised numerical weather prediction runs will clarify whether localized cooling from rain-cooled air masses can push the daily minimum lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 25–26°C on September 24, with partly cloudy conditions, localized showers, and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** This consensus arises from persistent subtropical moisture and weak steering flows that moderate diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with historical September baselines where lows rarely dip below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The closely matched market odds between 21°C or below (46.5%) and 31°C or higher (44.0%) reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in convective timing and the distinction between official station readings versus broader urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and any revised numerical weather prediction runs will clarify whether localized cooling from rain-cooled air masses can push the daily minimum lower than current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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