**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reflecting model agreement and current observations.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly data showing overnight minima near 18–19°C under overcast skies with light northerly winds and high humidity, align with this level. Early September climatology in the region typically features nighttime lows of 18–20°C before seasonal cooling accelerates, and no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event has materialized to push readings lower. Official agency guidance and ensemble consistency have reinforced this positioning throughout the period. A shift below 19°C would require an unanticipated late intensification of precipitation, stronger northerly flow, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station that diverge from broader model output—developments not currently indicated in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日成都最低气温？
9月12日成都最低气温？
19°C 96%
14°C或以下 87%
17°C 6%
16°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
87%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
24%
19°C
96%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 96%
14°C或以下 87%
17°C 6%
16°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
87%
15°C
$45 交易量
1%
16°C
$35 交易量
3%
17°C
$6 交易量
6%
18°C
$74 交易量
24%
19°C
$75 交易量
96%
20°C
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C
$25 交易量
<1%
22°C
$25 交易量
<1%
23°C
$25 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reflecting model agreement and current observations.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly data showing overnight minima near 18–19°C under overcast skies with light northerly winds and high humidity, align with this level. Early September climatology in the region typically features nighttime lows of 18–20°C before seasonal cooling accelerates, and no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event has materialized to push readings lower. Official agency guidance and ensemble consistency have reinforced this positioning throughout the period.
A shift below 19°C would require an unanticipated late intensification of precipitation, stronger northerly flow, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station that diverge from broader model output—developments not currently indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reflecting model agreement and current observations.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly data showing overnight minima near 18–19°C under overcast skies with light northerly winds and high humidity, align with this level. Early September climatology in the region typically features nighttime lows of 18–20°C before seasonal cooling accelerates, and no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event has materialized to push readings lower. Official agency guidance and ensemble consistency have reinforced this positioning throughout the period.
A shift below 19°C would require an unanticipated late intensification of precipitation, stronger northerly flow, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station that diverge from broader model output—developments not currently indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reflecting model agreement and current observations.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly data showing overnight minima near 18–19°C under overcast skies with light northerly winds and high humidity, align with this level. Early September climatology in the region typically features nighttime lows of 18–20°C before seasonal cooling accelerates, and no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event has materialized to push readings lower. Official agency guidance and ensemble consistency have reinforced this positioning throughout the period. A shift below 19°C would require an unanticipated late intensification of precipitation, stronger northerly flow, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station that diverge from broader model output—developments not currently indicated in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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