Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Paris on September 16, reflecting a northwest airflow bringing cooler maritime air after recent warmth. This positions 13°C as the market leader at 38% implied probability, followed by 14°C at 25.5%, with lower odds for 12°C or below. Short-range model consensus shows low precipitation risk and overnight lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window for any late adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日巴黎最低气温？
9月16日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 39%
13°C 37%
11°C或以下 34%
15°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
34%
12°C
39%
13°C
37%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
26%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
12°C 39%
13°C 37%
11°C或以下 34%
15°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
34%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$349 交易量
37%
14°C
$456 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Paris on September 16, reflecting a northwest airflow bringing cooler maritime air after recent warmth. This positions 13°C as the market leader at 38% implied probability, followed by 14°C at 25.5%, with lower odds for 12°C or below. Short-range model consensus shows low precipitation risk and overnight lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$805结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Paris on September 16, reflecting a northwest airflow bringing cooler maritime air after recent warmth. This positions 13°C as the market leader at 38% implied probability, followed by 14°C at 25.5%, with lower odds for 12°C or below. Short-range model consensus shows low precipitation risk and overnight lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$805结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Paris on September 16, reflecting a northwest airflow bringing cooler maritime air after recent warmth. This positions 13°C as the market leader at 38% implied probability, followed by 14°C at 25.5%, with lower odds for 12°C or below. Short-range model consensus shows low precipitation risk and overnight lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window for any late adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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