Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 18, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and light drizzle or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup aligns with seasonal normals around 19.3°C and current surface observations showing dew points near 15–16°C under building high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 19–20°C range reflects tight model consensus and low uncertainty in steering patterns through the 48-hour window, with only modest spread in guidance for any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. Resolution hinges on the official JMA daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日东京最低气温？
9月18日东京最低气温？
20°C 52%
19°C 35%
21°C 10%
18°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
6%
18°C
7%
19°C
35%
20°C
52%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 52%
19°C 35%
21°C 10%
18°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
14°C或以下
$53 交易量
1%
15°C
$53 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
<1%
17°C
$70 交易量
6%
18°C
$243 交易量
7%
19°C
$1,662 交易量
35%
20°C
$1,157 交易量
52%
21°C
$30 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$40 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 18, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and light drizzle or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup aligns with seasonal normals around 19.3°C and current surface observations showing dew points near 15–16°C under building high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 19–20°C range reflects tight model consensus and low uncertainty in steering patterns through the 48-hour window, with only modest spread in guidance for any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. Resolution hinges on the official JMA daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,307结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 18, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and light drizzle or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup aligns with seasonal normals around 19.3°C and current surface observations showing dew points near 15–16°C under building high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 19–20°C range reflects tight model consensus and low uncertainty in steering patterns through the 48-hour window, with only modest spread in guidance for any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. Resolution hinges on the official JMA daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,307结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 18, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and light drizzle or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup aligns with seasonal normals around 19.3°C and current surface observations showing dew points near 15–16°C under building high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 19–20°C range reflects tight model consensus and low uncertainty in steering patterns through the 48-hour window, with only modest spread in guidance for any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. Resolution hinges on the official JMA daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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