Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 25-40% chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Spring climatology shows average September highs around 15°C, yet the immediate steering pattern and pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the market's leading 15°C (61%) and 14°C (10%) implied probabilities. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical uncertainty ranges of 1-2°C for coastal sites exposed to Cook Strait winds, with updated runs and official briefings expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月16日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 61%
16°C 29%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
16%
14°C
20%
15°C
61%
16°C
29%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 61%
16°C 29%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
10°C
$0 交易量
2%
11°C
$5 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C
$21 交易量
20%
15°C
$138 交易量
61%
16°C
$0 交易量
29%
17°C
$0 交易量
16%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 25-40% chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Spring climatology shows average September highs around 15°C, yet the immediate steering pattern and pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the market's leading 15°C (61%) and 14°C (10%) implied probabilities. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical uncertainty ranges of 1-2°C for coastal sites exposed to Cook Strait winds, with updated runs and official briefings expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$164结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 25-40% chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Spring climatology shows average September highs around 15°C, yet the immediate steering pattern and pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the market's leading 15°C (61%) and 14°C (10%) implied probabilities. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical uncertainty ranges of 1-2°C for coastal sites exposed to Cook Strait winds, with updated runs and official briefings expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$164结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 25-40% chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Spring climatology shows average September highs around 15°C, yet the immediate steering pattern and pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the market's leading 15°C (61%) and 14°C (10%) implied probabilities. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical uncertainty ranges of 1-2°C for coastal sites exposed to Cook Strait winds, with updated runs and official briefings expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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