Recent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 12–13°C overnight under persistent southwest winds of 10–20 mph, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and mixing the boundary layer, pushing the low above the historical average of 10.9°C while dew points near 12–14°C cap further drops. The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C market-implied odds reflects model spread on exact overnight timing and precipitation intensity, with traders weighting real-time observations against climatological baselines for resolution. Updated model runs and station readings through the evening will determine whether the minimum crosses the 12.5°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月17日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
12°C 51%
10°C 19%
11°C 11%
8°C或以下 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
51%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 51%
10°C 19%
11°C 11%
8°C或以下 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
$46 交易量
1%
9°C
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
19%
11°C
$0 交易量
11%
12°C
$0 交易量
51%
13°C
$169 交易量
50%
14°C
$1,926 交易量
<1%
15°C
$77 交易量
<1%
16°C
$37 交易量
<1%
17°C
$37 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 12–13°C overnight under persistent southwest winds of 10–20 mph, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and mixing the boundary layer, pushing the low above the historical average of 10.9°C while dew points near 12–14°C cap further drops. The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C market-implied odds reflects model spread on exact overnight timing and precipitation intensity, with traders weighting real-time observations against climatological baselines for resolution. Updated model runs and station readings through the evening will determine whether the minimum crosses the 12.5°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,330结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 12–13°C overnight under persistent southwest winds of 10–20 mph, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and mixing the boundary layer, pushing the low above the historical average of 10.9°C while dew points near 12–14°C cap further drops. The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C market-implied odds reflects model spread on exact overnight timing and precipitation intensity, with traders weighting real-time observations against climatological baselines for resolution. Updated model runs and station readings through the evening will determine whether the minimum crosses the 12.5°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,330结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 12–13°C overnight under persistent southwest winds of 10–20 mph, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and mixing the boundary layer, pushing the low above the historical average of 10.9°C while dew points near 12–14°C cap further drops. The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C market-implied odds reflects model spread on exact overnight timing and precipitation intensity, with traders weighting real-time observations against climatological baselines for resolution. Updated model runs and station readings through the evening will determine whether the minimum crosses the 12.5°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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