Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日上海最低气温？
8月1日上海最低气温？
27°C 41%
28°C 41%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 41%
28°C 41%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
$32 交易量
4%
23°C
$32 交易量
10%
24°C
$117 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
12%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C
$15 交易量
44%
28°C
$15 交易量
44%
29°C
$0 交易量
15%
30°C
$268 交易量
14%
31°C
$17 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$32 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$527结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$527结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETShanghai's humid subtropical climate in late July typically produces minimum temperatures of 25–28°C by early August, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or urban conditions. Recent model runs show modest variability from potential weak frontal passages or varying wind speeds, which can shift overnight lows by 1–3°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 27–29°C arising from ensemble forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range guidance from regional models will refine the exact minimum ahead of August 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题