Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on July 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 2?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,417 交易量
$77,417 交易量
2026-07-02
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,417 交易量
$77,417 交易量
2026-07-02
23°C or below
$3,527 交易量
No
24°C
$4,370 交易量
No
25°C
$6,789 交易量
No
26°C
$16,597 交易量
No
27°C
$13,881 交易量
Yes
28°C
$15,944 交易量
No
29°C
$4,898 交易量
No
30°C
$1,756 交易量
No
31°C
$1,545 交易量
No
32°C
$3,742 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$4,368 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$77,417結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$77,417結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions