**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月3日釜山的最高溫度？
7月3日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,888 交易量
$50,888 交易量
2026-07-03
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,888 交易量
$50,888 交易量
2026-07-03
22°C或以下
$4,543 交易量
否
23°C
$2,602 交易量
否
24°C
$2,636 交易量
否
25°C
$4,848 交易量
否
26°C
$6,659 交易量
否
27°C
$9,823 交易量
否
28°C
$8,129 交易量
是
29°C
$4,992 交易量
否
30°C
$2,939 交易量
否
31°C
$2,270 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$1,449 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$50,888結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,888結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions