Traders overwhelmingly favor a 31°C high in Chengdu today because the latest regional forecast models and observational trends indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach that exact threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Daytime heating is expected to follow typical June patterns, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the maximum. This outlook aligns with current boundary-layer thermodynamics and narrow ensemble spreads that limit upside or downside surprises through the official observation period. A notable shift in moisture advection or an unforecasted convective cell could alter the reading, though such developments remain low-probability based on the most recent guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 10?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,390 交易量
$55,390 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,390 交易量
$55,390 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders overwhelmingly favor a 31°C high in Chengdu today because the latest regional forecast models and observational trends indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach that exact threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Daytime heating is expected to follow typical June patterns, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the maximum. This outlook aligns with current boundary-layer thermodynamics and narrow ensemble spreads that limit upside or downside surprises through the official observation period. A notable shift in moisture advection or an unforecasted convective cell could alter the reading, though such developments remain low-probability based on the most recent guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions