Recent weather observations and forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China support a daily maximum of exactly 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. June climatology in the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 28–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, with today’s combination of partial cloud cover, light winds, and regional pressure patterns limiting further warming or cooling. Official resolution relies on verified hourly readings, so final confirmation hinges on the last afternoon measurements; modest shifts in local advection or measurement timing remain the only realistic paths to an adjacent value, though current data show strong consistency with 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
31°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$47,808 交易量
$47,808 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$47,808 交易量
$47,808 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent weather observations and forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China support a daily maximum of exactly 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. June climatology in the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 28–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, with today’s combination of partial cloud cover, light winds, and regional pressure patterns limiting further warming or cooling. Official resolution relies on verified hourly readings, so final confirmation hinges on the last afternoon measurements; modest shifts in local advection or measurement timing remain the only realistic paths to an adjacent value, though current data show strong consistency with 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions