Official National Weather Service observations and forecasts aligned closely with June climatology for Dallas-Fort Worth, where average daily highs climb from the upper 80s to low 90s. On June 11, 2026, model consensus and surface observations pointed to a maximum of 92–93 °F under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing the exact bin now priced at 100 % implied probability. This outcome sits squarely within the long-term June envelope and reflects minimal day-to-day variability once the warm-air advection pattern locked in. Only an unforecasted cold-front passage or measurement error at the official DFW station could have shifted the reading outside that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 11?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$49,322 Vol.
$49,322 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$49,322 Vol.
$49,322 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations and forecasts aligned closely with June climatology for Dallas-Fort Worth, where average daily highs climb from the upper 80s to low 90s. On June 11, 2026, model consensus and surface observations pointed to a maximum of 92–93 °F under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing the exact bin now priced at 100 % implied probability. This outcome sits squarely within the long-term June envelope and reflects minimal day-to-day variability once the warm-air advection pattern locked in. Only an unforecasted cold-front passage or measurement error at the official DFW station could have shifted the reading outside that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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