Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou’s July 19 maximum will likely fall between 32–34 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which maintains warm, humid southerly flow from the South China Sea. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driven by moderate instability and southwesterly flow, introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread convection can enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap readings near 32–33 °C, while delayed or localized activity may allow brief clearing and peaks of 34–35 °C. Climatological July highs average near 33 °C, with urban heat-island effects adding modest elevation on clear days. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to precise timing of precipitation within the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$85,726 Vol.
$85,726 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$85,726 Vol.
$85,726 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
$439 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,788 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,380 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,312 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,067 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,518 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,324 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,004 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,908 Vol.
No
37°C
$13,028 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$959 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou’s July 19 maximum will likely fall between 32–34 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which maintains warm, humid southerly flow from the South China Sea. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driven by moderate instability and southwesterly flow, introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread convection can enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap readings near 32–33 °C, while delayed or localized activity may allow brief clearing and peaks of 34–35 °C. Climatological July highs average near 33 °C, with urban heat-island effects adding modest elevation on clear days. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to precise timing of precipitation within the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$85,726End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou’s July 19 maximum will likely fall between 32–34 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which maintains warm, humid southerly flow from the South China Sea. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driven by moderate instability and southwesterly flow, introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread convection can enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap readings near 32–33 °C, while delayed or localized activity may allow brief clearing and peaks of 34–35 °C. Climatological July highs average near 33 °C, with urban heat-island effects adding modest elevation on clear days. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to precise timing of precipitation within the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,726End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou’s July 19 maximum will likely fall between 32–34 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which maintains warm, humid southerly flow from the South China Sea. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driven by moderate instability and southwesterly flow, introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread convection can enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap readings near 32–33 °C, while delayed or localized activity may allow brief clearing and peaks of 34–35 °C. Climatological July highs average near 33 °C, with urban heat-island effects adding modest elevation on clear days. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to precise timing of precipitation within the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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