Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
29°C or below
$599 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,002 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,226 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,986 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,679 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,553 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,965 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$14,479 Vol.
No
37°C
$14,025 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,883 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,526 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$99,924End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,924End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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