Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 Vol.
$24,341 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 Vol.
$24,341 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
$1,025 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,216 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,919 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,926 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,465 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$993 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,755 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,881 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,914 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,543 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$4,705 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$24,341End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,341End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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