Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,456 交易量
$24,456 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,456 交易量
$24,456 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions