Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月30日北京最高溫度？
6月30日北京最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$167,968 交易量
$167,968 交易量
2026-06-30
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$167,968 交易量
$167,968 交易量
2026-06-30
23°C或以下
$13,813 交易量
否
24°C
$6,680 交易量
否
25°C
$6,072 交易量
否
26°C
$15,821 交易量
否
27°C
$8,255 交易量
否
28°C
$24,132 交易量
否
29°C
$26,404 交易量
否
30°C
$29,642 交易量
是
31°C
$17,237 交易量
否
32°C
$10,177 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$9,735 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$167,968結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$167,968結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions