Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Jeddah’s July 29 maximum will likely reach 38–40 °C at the official station, where the market-implied odds cluster tightly. Persistent summer subsidence, strong solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula, and a moderating Red Sea breeze create a narrow diurnal range, with peak readings sensitive to minor shifts in onshore flow timing or thin high cloud. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs show little day-to-day trend, keeping 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes nearly tied; a stronger sea breeze or brief marine layer could cap the high near 38 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 40 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance and the 00 UTC July 28 model suite will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日吉達的最高溫度？
7月29日吉達的最高溫度？
40°C 100.0%
34°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$49,318 交易量
$49,318 交易量
2026-07-29
34°C或以下
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C或以上
否
40°C 100.0%
34°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$49,318 交易量
$49,318 交易量
2026-07-29
34°C或以下
$2,086 交易量
否
35°C
$2,638 交易量
否
36°C
$2,498 交易量
否
37°C
$2,685 交易量
否
38°C
$10,165 交易量
否
39°C
$11,384 交易量
否
40°C
$1,538 交易量
是
41°C
$5,695 交易量
否
42°C
$2,454 交易量
否
43°C
$4,026 交易量
否
44°C或以上
$4,150 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Jeddah’s July 29 maximum will likely reach 38–40 °C at the official station, where the market-implied odds cluster tightly. Persistent summer subsidence, strong solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula, and a moderating Red Sea breeze create a narrow diurnal range, with peak readings sensitive to minor shifts in onshore flow timing or thin high cloud. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs show little day-to-day trend, keeping 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes nearly tied; a stronger sea breeze or brief marine layer could cap the high near 38 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 40 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance and the 00 UTC July 28 model suite will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
交易量
$49,318結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Jeddah’s July 29 maximum will likely reach 38–40 °C at the official station, where the market-implied odds cluster tightly. Persistent summer subsidence, strong solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula, and a moderating Red Sea breeze create a narrow diurnal range, with peak readings sensitive to minor shifts in onshore flow timing or thin high cloud. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs show little day-to-day trend, keeping 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes nearly tied; a stronger sea breeze or brief marine layer could cap the high near 38 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 40 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance and the 00 UTC July 28 model suite will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,318結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent model guidance from global ensembles indicates Jeddah’s July 29 maximum will likely reach 38–40 °C at the official station, where the market-implied odds cluster tightly. Persistent summer subsidence, strong solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula, and a moderating Red Sea breeze create a narrow diurnal range, with peak readings sensitive to minor shifts in onshore flow timing or thin high cloud. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs show little day-to-day trend, keeping 39 °C and 40 °C outcomes nearly tied; a stronger sea breeze or brief marine layer could cap the high near 38 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 40 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance and the 00 UTC July 28 model suite will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions