Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (41.5%) as London's highest temperature on April 18 at London City Airport, closely followed by 18°C (29.0%) and 16°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest BBC Weather and Met Office forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 17°C under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes. After an exceptional early April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—cooler Atlantic air masses and frontal rain have ushered in more typical mid-spring conditions, with patchy overnight showers on April 17 clearing to dry skies. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 16-18°C, though lingering cloud patches or enhanced insolation could nudge outcomes higher or lower; final observational data from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
17°C 42%
18°C 29%
16°C 19%
19°C 8%
$33,960 Vol.
$33,960 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
42%
18°C
29%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 42%
18°C 29%
16°C 19%
19°C 8%
$33,960 Vol.
$33,960 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
42%
18°C
29%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (41.5%) as London's highest temperature on April 18 at London City Airport, closely followed by 18°C (29.0%) and 16°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest BBC Weather and Met Office forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 17°C under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes. After an exceptional early April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—cooler Atlantic air masses and frontal rain have ushered in more typical mid-spring conditions, with patchy overnight showers on April 17 clearing to dry skies. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 16-18°C, though lingering cloud patches or enhanced insolation could nudge outcomes higher or lower; final observational data from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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