Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in London on July 29?

Highest temperature in London on July 29?

icon for Highest temperature in London on July 29?

Highest temperature in London on July 29?

33°C 31%

32°C 26%

31°C 24%

34°C 22%

Polymarket
NEW

33°C 31%

32°C 26%

31°C 24%

34°C 22%

Polymarket
NEW

28°C or below

$20 Vol.

2%

29°C

$10 Vol.

2%

30°C

$58 Vol.

6%

31°C

$9 Vol.

16%

32°C

$64 Vol.

26%

33°C

$7 Vol.

31%

34°C

$32 Vol.

22%

35°C

$17 Vol.

4%

36°C

$51 Vol.

2%

37°C

$5 Vol.

1%

38°C or higher

$5 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is driving trader consensus toward a peak of 32–33°C in London on July 29, with Met Office guidance indicating a maximum of 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds.** Recent model runs show warm southerly flow advecting air from the continent, supporting daytime highs several degrees above the July average of ~22–24°C, consistent with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England. Minor forecast spread arises from differences in predicted cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect in central London, which can add 1–2°C locally. Official agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF continue to converge on dry, stable conditions with little risk of significant cooling until later in the week, leaving the outcome sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 32–34°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$235
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is driving trader consensus toward a peak of 32–33°C in London on July 29, with Met Office guidance indicating a maximum of 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds.** Recent model runs show warm southerly flow advecting air from the continent, supporting daytime highs several degrees above the July average of ~22–24°C, consistent with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England. Minor forecast spread arises from differences in predicted cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect in central London, which can add 1–2°C locally. Official agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF continue to converge on dry, stable conditions with little risk of significant cooling until later in the week, leaving the outcome sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 32–34°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$235
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in London on July 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "33°C" at 31%, followed by "32°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in London on July 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in London on July 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in London on July 29?" is "33°C" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "32°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in London on July 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.