India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 交易量
$78,791 交易量
2026-04-24
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 交易量
$78,791 交易量
2026-04-24
40°C or below
$6,642 交易量
No
41°C
$9,117 交易量
No
42°C
$29,746 交易量
Yes
43°C
$12,895 交易量
No
44°C
$6,894 交易量
No
45°C
$4,179 交易量
No
46°C
$2,282 交易量
No
47°C
$2,270 交易量
No
48°C
$1,524 交易量
No
49°C
$1,077 交易量
No
50°C or higher
$2,166 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$78,791結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,791結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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